Freddy is not only our #1 college football expert for career profit he has simply dominated his top plays especially the max rating plays going 70-46 ATS in his career for a 60.3% ATS mark, but in bowl games he's got 24-12 ATS for 66.7% ATS on max rating plays. Freddy has gone 4-0 ATS this bowl season on top plays (9-4 overall), with easy covers by margins ATS of 12.5, 35.5, 33, and 18. All 4 games were easy covers with Nebraska, Georgia Southern, San Diego State, and LA Tech! Freddy feels super confident on Tuesday in another big game this one between Baylor and North Carolina. Play comes with a full in depth analysis and is guaranteed to profit or Wednesday's card is on the house!


This has extreme value in my book for many reasons. Baylor’s experienced defense will be the difference in this game in my opinion. Especially since they will be without their top running back, and receiver, but do get their third string QB back in Chris Johnson. I really don’t feel like Johnson got a real opportunity to showcase his talent, and I think that is a huge reason we are getting value here. Johnson is an athletic freak that I think will really hurt this North Carolina defense that gave up over 600 yards to Clemson. Baylor is also a run first team and has been the last few years so I don’t think these injuries impact them as much as the line movement suggests.

All the public really remembers is this team struggling down the stretch, but they won many games with this defense and are ranked 30th in yards per play. North Carolina’s offense has only faced 2 top 40 unit in yards per play defense, and just 1 team in top 40 yards per play offense, but in this bowl game they will face a team that is top 30 in both. Gene Chizik is getting all kinds of credit for improving a defense that gave up 16.4 points per game more in 2014, but the fact of the matter is strength of schedule. In 2014, North Carolina played a whopping total of 8 teams in the top 50 in offense, and this year they played just 2 with a lot of bad offenses along the way.

The last thing I will mention is the fact that these two conferences are pretty even. The Big 12 is 12-11 vs. the ACC in bowl games with an average differential of 0.3 ppg. I believe the ACC defenses have made this UNC offense look better than they really are. The ACC is 1-3 ATS in bowl games in 2015, and featured 3 of the better defenses in the conference in Duke, Pitt, and Virginia Tech and all 3 gave up a ton of points 41, 44, and 52. North Carolina had huge issues at the end of the year stopping the run allowing 300+ yards in their last 2 games and I think that’s the strategy Baylor takes in this game as the defense also steps up. This is an experienced unit that returned 9 of 11 starters.

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